Silver rose to near $59.60 on July 2, extending gains as the US Dollar slumped ahead of the key US jobs data release.
"The dollar's weakness is the primary driver for silver's move this morning," said Omar Tariq, commodities analyst at Edgen. "Traders are reducing dollar exposure ahead of the NFP print, which benefits precious metals across the board."
The US Dollar Index fell as much as 0.4% during Asian trading hours, with market participants positioning for the June Non-Farm Payrolls report due Friday. Recent data leaks have suggested the employment figures may indicate a much hotter labor market than previously forecast, according to trading desk reports cited by market commentators. A weaker-than-expected print could reinforce expectations of a less restrictive Federal Reserve policy stance, further pressuring the greenback, while a strong reading would likely reverse the dollar's decline and weigh on silver.
The broader commodities complex also benefited from the dollar's weakness, with gold posting modest gains during the session. Silver's advance over the past week has outpaced gold's move, reflecting the metal's higher sensitivity to shifts in dollar sentiment and its dual role as both a monetary and industrial metal. The move comes as broader financial markets adopt a defensive posture, with Bitcoin stabilizing near $58,798 and equity index futures trading in a narrow range, according to market data.
The $60 level now represents the next key resistance for silver, a threshold not breached since late May. On the downside, the $58 support zone has held firm during the past two weeks, attracting buying interest from both retail and institutional participants. The July 3 payrolls release is the next major event for precious metals markets, with implications extending to gold and mining stocks. With interest rates expected to remain elevated for the foreseeable future, the NFP data will be critical in determining whether the dollar's recent weakness is a temporary correction or the start of a sustained trend. Institutional desks remain largely on the sidelines, preferring to observe the NFP impact on the dollar and Treasury yields before deploying fresh capital into commodities, as noted in recent market commentary. A stronger-than-expected jobs report could trigger a fresh wave of dollar buying, testing silver's support levels near the $57 to $58 range, while a miss to the downside could propel silver past the $60 resistance and toward the $62 level.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.