Nike Inc. shares dropped 16 percent last month after the sportswear giant’s weak forward-looking guidance overshadowed a quarterly earnings report that beat analyst expectations, signaling a longer-than-expected turnaround.
The results prompted several Wall Street analysts to downgrade the stock or lower their price targets, acknowledging the company's recovery is taking more time than previously anticipated.
For its fiscal third quarter ended Feb. 28, Nike reported revenue that was flat year-over-year at $11.3 billion, while earnings per share fell 35 percent to $0.35. The company’s direct-to-consumer sales fell four percent.
The stock’s decline brings its year-to-date loss to 29 percent. The main concern for investors was Nike's guidance, with management stating it expects revenue to be down by low single digits over the next three quarters.
Turnaround Troubles
While Nike’s performance in North America showed signs of progress with a three percent revenue increase to $5.03 billion, this was offset by persistent weakness elsewhere. Sales in Greater China fell seven percent, and the Converse brand saw a steep 35 percent revenue decline.
The company has struggled with strategic missteps, including a pivot away from wholesale partners that it is now reversing, and a lack of product innovation that has allowed competitors to gain ground. Gross margin contracted by 130 basis points to 40.2 percent, pressured by higher tariffs and ongoing promotions to clear inventory.
The guidance revision suggests that the path back to growth and margin expansion will be challenging. Management does not see a return to gross margin expansion until the second quarter of fiscal 2027.
The slide in Nike's stock to its lowest point since 2020 reflects investor concern over the delayed recovery. The company's next earnings report will be a critical catalyst for investors looking for signs that the turnaround strategy is gaining traction.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.